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World’s best Apple analyst says he knows how many Watches were preordered

Published Apr 16th, 2015 8:30AM EDT
Apple Watch Orders

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Earlier this week, some preliminary sales figures extrapolated by the research firm Slice Intelligence indicated that initial pre-order volume for the Apple Watch may have come in just below 1 million units during the device’s first three days of availability.

Now, the typically well-informed Ming-Chi Kuo of KGI relays that that figure may have already hit 2.3 million units.

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MacRumors, citing Kuo’s research report, writes:

We estimate production of Apple Watch around 2.3mn units in March-May. Mass production of Apple Watch began in March and will likely reach 2.3mn by end of May. Considering that most consumers who preordered will not get the device until June, we estimate global preorders of over 2.3mn units, with Apple Watch Sport, Apple Watch and Apple Watch Edition representing a respective order allocation of 85%, 15% and less than 1%.

Once Apple Watch production gets into full wing, Kuo believes Apple will be able to churn out upwards of 3 million units a month.

As it stands now, demand for the Apple Watch doesn’t seem to be that much of a problem. Per usual, it’s the supply side of the equation that’s liable to give Apple a headache. As we pointed out earlier in the week, the Apple Watch’s advertised April 24 launch date is something of a misleading joke given that 31 out of the 38 Apple Watch variations won’t be shipping till at least June.

As a final note of interest, Kuo relays that the bottleneck in the Apple Watch supply chain likely rests on the vibration motors and AMOLED screens used in the device.

Yoni Heisler Contributing Writer

Yoni Heisler has been writing about Apple and the tech industry at large with over 15 years of experience. A life long expert Mac user and Apple expert, his writing has appeared in Edible Apple, Network World, MacLife, Macworld UK, and TUAW.

When not analyzing the latest happenings with Apple, Yoni enjoys catching Improv shows in Chicago, playing soccer, and cultivating new TV show addictions.