Apple’s mobile dominance to continue: 107 million iPhones expected to ship in 2012

Business

Janney Capital Markets analyst Bill Choi believes Apple’s success with the iPhone will continue to sky rocket. Choi estimated recently that Apple will ship 87 million iPhone units this year and 107 million during 2012, a 27 percent increase year-over-year. Apple’s growing number of carrier partners will be the primary catalyst for the growth, Choi said, noting that 228 wireless carriers offered the iPhone in a total of 105 countries during the third quarter of this year. “There are still a handful of major carriers worldwide that have yet to carry the iPhone. Potential deals with Sprint (52.1M subscribers), T-Mobile (33.6M subscribers), China Mobile (628M subscribers) and other large international carriers pose a catalyst to fuel iPhone sales,” Choi wrote in a research note. Despite a recent rumor that suggests Apple will sell a new iPhone with support for T-Mobile’s “4G” network, statements from T-Mobile USA chief marketing officer Cole Brodman have suggested that T-Mobile USA will not carry the iPhone this year. Apple will unveil its new iPhone lineup on Tuesday and is currently expected to launch an improved model as well as a watered down and more affordable version of the current iPhone 4.

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65 Comments
  • FTW

    Apple’s dominance over what? They r getting killed 2-1 in market share by Android.

    • Anonymous

      Can you tell another one of your funny jokes again?

      • Anonymous

        yea let’s see. 500,000 android activations per day in 2011 x 365 days per year. hmm how many android activations is that per year? do you need to call a lifeline?

      • Anonymous

        Yeah umm, sales and “activations” are not the same thing. Since I’ve had my evo, I’ve activated it more than 5 times due to rom flashing. Just face it, the iPhone IS the worlds most popular smart phone–BOTTOM LINE.

      • Droid Army

        @k1ng:
        You’re a moron. 500k activations are for new devices on new lines or new upgrades. WTF gaypple fanboy!

    • http://twitter.com/cyberb0b Bob Autrey

      First whiner… 

    • Robes1

      Ha! That Galaxy crap sold 10 million in what? Some months?! Comedy! Pick one android phone made by any company you wanna choose. Put those numbers against the iPhone 4! Can you manage that math buddy?! I can help if you need it! The answer is…you LOSE!!! Apple is number one! Even when Google starts making it’s own phone with it’s newly acquired Motorola facilities they will not come even within 50% of what the iPhone does with one phone! No version of the Nexus comes close to iPhone 4 numbers! They will have to make the Nexus Jesus that comes with blessings and dies for your sins! HA!

      • Drew

        Are we gonna have THAT discussion again..?? You mean when there’s ONE Android phone locked to ONE carrier for 5 years?? Stop using that tired ass talking point of 1 phone vs hundreds. iOS vs Android. And you really lose even more credibility when you think Google is gonna start making their own phones. They don’t make hardware you clown…

      • Robes1

        Because it’s the only comparison that makes any sense! If you wanted the title would you fight the champ or all heavyweights at once?! Let’s not be ignorant! If you don’t think that Google is gonna make phones with the Motorola Mobility that they just spent all that money on then you have officially become the dumbest man alive!

      • Drew

        @9e91188e33d1fd270a58f07b370986bf:disqus Umm, idiot alert..!! Google’s going to make phones..?? Really?? How about the MAIN reason (not the only reason) they purchased Motorola Mobility was for their patent portfolio. They didn’t buy it to make phones. I see you’re not used to breathing oxygen up here on the surface but perhaps you need to spend a little LESS time under the rock you crawled from under. Btw, I’m still laughing at your argument of “..it’s the only comparison that makes any sense!”…

      • Robes1

        Ask anyone with a brain! Google is going to make their own phones! Why do you think that there were so many articles about Android manufacturers being nervous and wondering about their future. Wen thinking of purchases new or alternative mobile OS’s. I guess everyone can see it EXCEPT YOU! Dont you think that Google would like to get a little of that money that the manufacturers are making? To have a little more control over what’s running their OS? Maybe you should read more than my comments! LOL! Every knows about the patent portfolio but that wasn’t the only reason. There wasn’t enough of a benefit for that to be the only reason. Also “Fandroid” why don’t you use GOOGLE to look up all of the experts in articles saying that the patent portfolio alone wasn’t worth half of what they spent. Also do a search on terrified OEMs who know that Google will give the phones that they create updates much faster. Now hop off my d!ck and do some reading! Cause you don’t know sh!t!

      • http://twitter.com/Glansburgs Steven Glansburg

        Google had their chance. 

      • Anonymous

        Why do people like you always talk about someone else other than a company wining and loosing? “you LOSE” who does, FTW? I don’t get it. Just make yourself look foolish when you act like that.

      • Android

        Android has multiple manufacturers that make multiple devices… Apple makes what two devices a year? Your logic is a joke

      • Anonymous

        YOu are trying to compare apples to oranges which you cannot.

      • Anonymous

        iPhones will continue to sell because its users are sheep not because the product is superior…..

      • Anonymous

        @9e91188e33d1fd270a58f07b370986bf:disqus You read BeatWeek too much.  Time to float back down to reality.  Let’s put this in terms you *might* be able to understand. 

        “More people prefer an Android based phone than an iOS based phone”

        Now get your Kleenex box ready along with BGR for tomorrow’s announcement.

    • Anonymous

      Who’s making the profits? Not Android OEMs.  Not Google.

      • Anonymous

        Your are certainly not troll!!

      • Anonymous

        You have got to be the ugliest troll to ever grace these boards.

    • Anonymous

      Wow what a idiotic comment. What are you 12 years old. How’s that market share working out for android. Think before you post. It’s pretty sad that a iPhone 4 that is 15 months old can outsell any android based phone. Wait till after tomorrow when over 50% of BB users and over 30% android users go iPhone 5.

      • Anonymous

        “Wait till after tomorrow when over 50% of BB users and over 30% android users go iPhone 5.”

        Same tired bullshit people keep peddling every time there’s a new iPhone coming out. “EVERYONE’S GONNA SWITCH!”. And they always have surveys and quotes from “analysts” to back up their claims. And it never happens.

        And why doesn’t it happen? Well, because the people who wanted an iPhone has probably already gotten one. Nobody is sitting around waiting for the fifth iteration of a handset. And there’s probably nothing new about the iPhone 5 that’s going to persuade Android users to switch en masse, because whatever they are going to announce is probably already available on Android.

      • Anonymous

        Same horse manure as when iPhone 4 came to VZW.  There’s a headline out there stating that 40% of Android users were switching to the iPhone 4 on VZW on release day.  LMFAO!!!!!  Never happened, just like it isn’t going to happen this time around either.

      • Anonymous

        Correct… and when it doesn’t happen, the fanbois are going to start with “Well, the iPhone 6 is just around the corner. Why would any one get the iPhone 5 when the 6 will happen in a few months?”  Actually, I just read that the only carrier to get the iPhone 5 will be Sprint. Verizon and ATT won’t get theirs until Q1 2012. And that’s from BGR…

      • Anonymous

        Yes there is also alot more on android tablets then there is on the iPad. How’s that working out? It’s not about who does it first but who does it best. Lots of people are finally taking notice of this. And I’m not going on what analyst say I’m going by what friends and colleagues say who have BB and android phones and their done with the bullshit. I myself had a evo 4g. It was a horrible experience to say the least.

      • Anonymous

        @MIcroNIx. Wrong. That was about people that were going switch from AT&T to verizon. AT&T must not be that bad cause no one left. As a matter if fact they gained my iPhone subs.

    • Anonymous

      Not really…I may be a fan of android but even I think you’re full of it.

    • Cree

      I’m an iOS, Android, WebOS user. The iPhone has the biggest lead of any handset/smartphone manufacturer. Android encompasses, Samsung, Moto, HTC, LG, etc…thus the market share is combined. If market share was reflected upon a single manufacturer Apple is the clear winner! The lead is going to grow, once they have it on Sprint, ATT, and Verizon within the US. They will rise towards 33-34%, thus cutting into RIM, Google’s, and Microsoft’s market share. 

      If you ask me, I am buying the iPhone5 then selling it for a Samsung Nexus. I am only going to test drive the iPhone for about a month. 

      I am current Thunderbolt user, former Droid 1 owner, former iPad 1&2, and current TouchPad 16&32GB current owner. Cree

      • Anonymous

        Intelligence, don’t see that much around here…

    • Anthony Etter

      over what? fudge you. I had the iphone 1, 2, 3, 3gs, 4, 4gs. Ipod touch 1g,2g,3g,4g,100000000g. Powermac g1,g2,g3,g4,g5. Macbook air 1,2,3,4,5,5,6,6,y7. Also have the itv 1,2,3,4,5,6,9. Oh wait, I have only had the ipod touch 2g. Sorry, I role with moto and samsung.

  • http://twitter.com/cyberb0b Bob Autrey

    The best thing about this kind of article is all the Goofan/Fandroid bellyaching that is sure to follow..

    • Anonymous

      Hardly, I think people are catching on that these speculation/projection articles are never read with any weight to them. Its just something else for BGR to post on their home page, articles about Apple get a lot of clicks, because of all the hate/fandom behind it.

    • Anonymous

      And all the iPricks that respond…

  • Anonymous

    Well duh? Only ignorant Fandroid would think otherwise

    • Anonymous

      Your name sucks. Its not even cleverly made. I can do it to look..

      Mac osPWODx

  • http://twitter.com/BeanTNT Bean

    who cares? hurry up tomorrow so i won’t have to keep refreshing BGR for BS rumors and “anal-yst insider exclusives” like a damn fiend

  • http://houstonpearce.com Houston Pearce

    If this happens, I’m switching to Android. Simple as that.

  • Peace

    How come the arguments are never about the specs of the phones? Apple is out for profits and they get that. Google is out for increased traffic for ad revenue and they get that. Both companies are winning. The only benefit that users get is a phone and mobile operating system. Unless you are investing and/or work for said companies how are you benefiting otherwise?

    • Peace

      I use Sunoco gas but I don’ t receive any of their profits so why would I boast about their profits, say, over Lukoil? I’m a little confused by you guys and your comments.

  • http://twitter.com/5murfette Mr Smurf

    Under what criteria is apple exactly ‘dominating’ ? Number of SOLD phones? Nokia easily beats that, number of their operating system installs? Google beats that with android, Most likely even samsung beats all that with number of their phones that run android (variety of phone names, android versions — just because each phone from apple is called iphone doesn’t mean it should be counted as one).

    • Anonymous

      Apple takes home 66.30% of all profits in the mobile space. That is pretty dominating.

      • Tim242

        By robbing people and not paying commission. Not something to brag about.

      • Zac Caslin

        Maybe some day they will steal all our data And sell it like google does.

  • Anonymous

    First! Bitches!!!

  • Anonymous

    iPhone = android killer. Apple will rule the world.  true story™©®

  • Drew

    87 Million before the end of the year?? No way in hell… 

    Analyst Math: 228 carriers x 105 countries + {-52.1M -33.6M -628M} = Bs – a (BGR) = 107 Million. Bullshit…!!

    • Anonymous

      Or

      18+ million in the first quarter
      20+ million in the second quarter

      So, they need to sell 49 million more for Q3 and Q4. Not impossible.

  • Weaksauce

    BGR–your home for Apple fanboys

  • Anonymous

    If you apply the growth percentages over the last four years Apple will actually sell 150 million plus next year.

  • Justin Lisenby

    Wow, that’s quite a lot of phones.

  • Tim242

    Since when is stagnant 28% market share, mobile dominance? Then the specs are always behind.

    • Anonymous

      66.30% of all mobile profits. That is pretty dominant. Have a good night and good luck with your blood pressure during tomorrow’s event…………..and yes, you know as well as all of us that you will be paying closer attention than anyone else.

      • Robes1

        HA! Got em!

      • Tim242

        Profits? McDonald’s makes more profit than Chili’s. What’s your point? Apple only gets that much profit because they don’t pay commission for sales like other companies. I should know, I work for att.

      • Zac Caslin

        Why don’t you start working for market share numbers only, since it’s all that matters to you. These company’s are here to make money not retarded market share numbers that nobody cares about except you.

  • Anonymous

    And people will continue to pay for apps which were once free on websites. Fail. HTML5 is the new flash was nothing but a marketing gimmick to drive commission sales. Thanks failpple.

  • Jooo Andrews

    Is BGR a tech blog or an apple blog? Love reading about all tech but damn the bias is painfully obvious, and it shows in the reporting. removing from the rss.

  • Bringit

    Not all will get one (and how can you blame the moms for getting their teens Android phones with all the free and cheap ones lying around) – but everybody definitely wants an iPhone.

    • Anonymous

      Had one for a work phone for a while. All fanboyisms aside, I was just underwhelmed by the software. Replaced it with WP7 and can’t stop playing with it

      • Bringit

        Careful, you’ll go blind.

  • Guest

    ,..awesome.., 

  • Anonymous

    Bad title on this article. Android is FAST approaching 1 million activations daily. That will put Android sales at 365+ Million by 2012. That is a 3-1 ratio of REAL dominance. Stupid article.

    • Zac Caslin

      Activations Not sales. Big difference.

  • animatrix999

    iOShyt 4S/5 are too damn fugly…… An wat new features?? All of it is just a plain copy of Android, Blackberry, Sony Ericsson etc etc…. so why d hell android users wanna switch over to that crap? 

  • http://twitter.com/ocdtrekkie Jake Weisz

    Stop. Feeding. The. Analysts.

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