Tablet shipments fell by 28% in Q1, full-year forecast still up on iPad demand, IDC says

Tablets

Tablet shipments following the 2010 holiday season dropped by more than a quarter according to market watcher IDC, but the firm still raised its full-year forecast in its latest Worldwide Quarterly Media Tablet and eReader Tracker report. First-quarter 2011 tablet shipments were down by 28% sequentially according to IDC, due to iPad shipments that were “well below expectations.” Yet the firm has high hopes for Apple’s iPad 2 tablet in 2011, and it raised its full-year shipment estimates to 53.5 million units from 50.4 million units as a result. Apple isn’t the only company finding success with tablets, however, as Android tablets were up 8.2 points sequentially to 34% of total shipments in the first quarter according to IDC. ”Like the PC market, Media Tablets had a bit of a challenging quarter in Q1, as concerns about general macroeconomic issues and the post-holiday letdown took a toll on demand,” said IDC’s VP of Clients and Displays Bob O’Donnell in a statement. “We expect the rest of the year to be much stronger, but we believe vendors who continue to focus on the telco channel for distribution will face serious challenges.” O’Donnell’s colleague Jennifer Song, IDC Research Analyst, added, “Although media tablet sales were not as high as expected in 1Q11 due to slower consumer demand, overall economic conditions, and supply-chain constraints, we believe with the entrance of competitive new devices in second half of 2011, the market will sell close to 53 million units for the year and continue to grow long-term.” IDC’s full press release follows below.

Media Tablet Sales Lag Optimistic First Quarter Targets, But Forecast Remains Strong, According to IDC

FRAMINGHAM, Mass., July 8, 2011 – Worldwide media tablet shipments into sales channels fell by 28% on a sequential basis in the first calendar quarter of 2011 (1Q11) to 7.2 million units worldwide, according to the International Data Corporation (IDC) Worldwide Quarterly Media Tablet and eReader Tracker. Looking forward, however, IDC raised its shipment forecast for 2011 to 53.5 million units from a previous projection of 50.4 million units.

For 1Q11, the seasonal trends typically found in more mature consumer electronics and computing categories had a notable impact on the burgeoning media tablet market, suggesting that demand for the category may not be quite as strong as recent media hype suggests. The eReader market (which IDC counts separately) experienced similar seasonality, undergoing a sequential decline in shipments to 3.3 million units as the post-holiday season proved to be challenging for that category. However, eReaders enjoyed 105% year-over-year growth as the devices continue to grow in overall popularity, particularly with the introduction of color devices, such as Barnes & Noble’s Color Nook. (Note: Media tablets have been shipping less than a full year and year over year growth comparisons are not yet available.)

Apple’s iPad and the recently introduced iPad 2 continue to dominate the media tablet market, as other vendors have had a more difficult time finding market acceptance for their products. But even Apple’s shipments for the quarter were well below expectations. Some supply-chain hiccups on screens as well as the pre-release announcement of the iPad 2 several weeks before its actual availability combined to have a noticeable impact on the company’s shipments for the quarter.

Mobile phone vendors, such as Samsung and Motorola, who have focused their distribution through the telco carriers, found moderate success with their media tablets, but sales were largely stymied by many consumers’ unwillingness to sign up for the 3G/4G data plans that the carriers typically require along with these devices. As an operating system, Android-based devices grew to 34% of the total, a share increase of 8.2 points over the previous quarter.

For eBooks, Barnes & Noble’s Color Nook helped the company to take the lead in the eReader market for the first time. Amazon’s Kindle was second, but the lack of a color offering has clearly impacted the company’s previous dominance in the eReader market. IDC forecasts the worldwide eReader market to ship 16.2 million units in 2011, a 24% increase over 2010.

“Like the PC market, Media Tablets had a bit of a challenging quarter in Q1, as concerns about general macroeconomic issues and the post-holiday letdown took a toll on demand,” said Bob O’Donnell, IDC Vice President, Clients and Displays. “We expect the rest of the year to be much stronger, but we believe vendors who continue to focus on the telco channel for distribution will face serious challenges.”

“Although media tablet sales were not as high as expected in 1Q11 due to slower consumer demand, overall economic conditions, and supply-chain constraints, we believe with the entrance of competitive new devices in second half of 2011, the market will sell close to 53 million units for the year and continue to grow long-term,” said Jennifer Song, IDC Research Analyst.

32 Comments
  • Bringit

    There is no tablet market.  Only an iPad market.  It’s well documented.

    • Anonymous

      That would explain the sharply rising figures for Android tablets. And does that even include the nook? It’s not clear in the report…

      • Anonymous

        Anything from ‘zero’ can be considered sharply rising, really.

      • http://twitter.com/snookasnoo Idon’t Know

        The Nook is an ereader not a tablet.

      • http://twitter.com/jbernard703 Jeff Bernard

        the nook does not have access to the android market so including those numbers in android figures is retarded at best. 

  • http://kpwriting.com/ academic writing

    Wow, it’s so cute!

  • Anonymous

    Just like in smartphone market share android is increasing tablet market share with crap products. Lol the nook color??? Hahahah. Best selling android tablet is an e-reader!! Dumbass fandroids.  true story™©®

    • Mcmiller95828

      I find it interesting that the pro Apple crowd resorts to abstract name calling and a distortion of facts to support their claims of IPhone and IPad superiority.  I am a simple guy I don’t pretend to be super nerd or know more than any of you posting.  What I know is what I like and hate.  I have an Iphone 3gs given to me by my daughter.  I love the phone works great but my next phone will be android and so will my tablet.   I currently have 4g service as part of my data plan but the next iPhone won’t be 4g.  I hate the fact that with the iPhone I can’t add memmory through a micro sd card.  I really hate that the battery isn’t user replaceable at least not a simple user like myself. Most android phones these 2 items are not an issue.
      The IPad is also nice but not all it can be.  same issues plus no adobe flash.  The Toshiba Thrive while not as sexy as the IPAD 2 has a fullsized SD slot capable of handling SDXC cards.  It has full sized USB and HDMI ports and a user replaceable battery.
      Apple makes some kick ass products I started by telling y’all I love the phone.  Until they start looking at their customers and designining in the feature we want they will always have to depend on their diehard Apple Boys and Girls.  US non fanatical commonsense typ folks who do their research and purchase based on feature set will always choose something else.

  • Anonymous

    Fandroids believe that consumers will flock to Android as an operating system as has been seen in the smartphone biz.  Problem is…  People didn’t flock to Android.  They got it by default as that is what the manufacturers put on the phones.  With the success of the old Motorola KRZR should we say that people flocked to its operating system.  No, because they simply didn’t know what it was or didn’t care.  Now, we see e-readers running a version of it.  That sure will make it the look good for the tech bloggers.  500K activations a day.  Only they are refrigerators, alarm clocks and washing machines.  LOL.

    Amazingly, once people (other than the diehards) are asked to spend their dollars on something, they trust only one name.  And, that is the only company selling tablets.  Apple!

    • http://twitter.com/snookasnoo Idon’t Know

      They got it be default as the closest thing to an iPhone and in two for one sales etc.  The iPhone on Verizon spanked all the Android phones on Verizon combined.  But the carriers still like Android because they make a lot of money on the bloatware which ruins the user experience and because you have to upgrade often.  Apple does’;t let the carriers screw over its customers with bloatware but they re the only phone seller that takes this stand.  Google, HTC, Moto,Samsung etc are all for it.  Hell put Bing on the phone while your at it!  Oh and enjoy your Android malware which Google is unable to control.  What a mess Android is.

    • Anonymous

      Hah, you’re completely wrong about almost everything you wrote.  People buy Android because of price versus what they believe they’re getting.  In other words, they see two smart phones.  They believe they both do the same thing and one is significantly cheaper.  Choice made, Android.  Second, people will buy Android tablets for the same reason — although, I will admit, right now that equation is not valid as Android tablets are not materially cheaper than iPad.  Android will not make serious inroads until its tablets cost much less than iPad.  That will come.  Third, the 500,000 activations per day are smart phones, not devices.  In smart phones, Android is absolutely shellacking Apple.  Apple supporters can distill the data down to “models” and they can even include iPads and iPods and call them “mobile devices” (despite the fact most do not have 3G radios) but they’re only fooling themselves.  Android is clearly winning the smart phone race and that will continue unless Apple introduces cheaper handsets.   

      • Anonymous

        Interesting, but I am not completely wrong. The quote from Google is “Devices” not smartphones.

        And, Android devices are not cheaper. Anything that is at least competitive with the iPhone costs the same or more. You can get an iPhone for free on contract right now.

        Simple, iPhone is a choice the same way that iPod is. Android is not. That is the phone that I could get from my carrier because I have a family plan and I am tied to that. iPhone is usually excluded from those promos by the carrier at Apple’s discretion. That is not every case as there are diehard Apple haters that wouldn’t touch iPhone if it spit out $20 bills from the bottom. But, that is not the majority. Verizon is the best example. iPhone finally gets on Verizon and all of the Android phones collectively don’t match the iPhone sales. Pretty compelling evidence that when given a choice, consumes choose iPhone every time.

        Fwd to tablets an outlook for Android is more bleak. What? About 100 hundred lumps have come out since CES and not a single one has any sales or staying power. All the assemblers are lowering their forecasts or saying they need to go back to the drawing board.

        Pretty funny to watch actually. Loved the magic hand waving from the Acer CEO. What a joke they all are.

      • Anonymous

        I’m not sure what you’re talking about smart phones competitive with iPhone
        being the same or greater in price. That simply is not at all true. I have
        both an iPhone and Samsung Galaxy SII. First, I bought the SII unlocked but
        the very same phone is coming to Virgin Mobile in Canada for less than $100
        on contract and that is 50% LESS than iPhone. Second, I can say from
        personal experience there is absolutely no comparison between the iPhone and
        SII. The SII is superior is every way, period. The screen is bigger,
        brighter and more vibrant. It is much, much faster at everything. Browsing
        is better. Opening applications is better. Notifications is miles better.
        There is just no comparison. It is a better phone. Now, if you’re talking
        about getting an iPhone 3GS for free on contract versus getting something
        like an HTC Incredible, I think only a fool would choose the 3GS. The phone
        is two years old! Finally, I’m not sure where you are getting your
        information suggesting that iPhone for Verizon outsells all of the Android
        phones there collectively but that is quite simply wrong. In fact, it is
        not even close to being true.

      • Anonymous

        The information came from Verizon. They stated it, not me. The independent research firms have confirmed this information that iPhone is the number one selling phone on Verizon. And they research firms have also stated that the iphone on Verizon effectively has stopped the forward momentum of Android.

        Your experience seems to be different then every tech review web site on the internet. All of them consistently and in the exact same fashion state that iOS is simply the most fluid user experience in the smartphone biz today. Again, look to your Engadget, This is my next, Boy Genius Report, Wall Street Journal and so on.

        I find Fandroids always come back to the same place to somehow validate their experience. It always begins with I have an iPhone, and my Droid whiz a ma chig with Bootloader Rom cum quat runs way better than my iPhone. The first line however, makes the final part irrelevant and the middle proves why Android is for the tweaker geek. The get it to run any way half decent you have to strip the malware installed by the carriers and manufacturers in a pathetic attempt to differentiate themselves from each other. Just wait until they all run away in flames to avoid the lawsuits. Zero support for the end consumer. Which, most consumers know. Who are you going to trust? Apple, that has vested interest in it succeeding or the manufacturer who chose not to develop for themselves because they could get something for free. Consumers seem to be speaking in volumes. Google will simply slink away from the beta and leave the manufacturers with their dicks in their hands. Between Oracle, Microsoft and Apple they simply have no defence for the blatant rip off that is Android. Lets all remember, until Macworld 2007 Android was a pager to compete with RIM. The lump kind of looked like a motorola Q. Apple showed them the way and by November of that year they had come up with this open (HAHA) platform. Problem is, they stole the code from others in the hopes that no one would notice.

      • Anonymous

        You posted that iPhone for Verizon outsells all of the other Android there
        handsets combined. That is categorically untrue. In fact, you will not
        find any research anywhere to support this claim because it is simply not
        true. Android outsells iPhone at Verizon by a factor of two.

        I have no idea what you’re talking about with respect to Internet sites and
        iOS. To be honest, I don’t really care what Walt Mossberg says about smart
        phones. Because, unlike you you, I own phones from both OS’s, I value my
        own opinion of my devices more. So I’m not sure why you’re telling me the
        Wall Street Journal prefers iPhone. Who cares? With respect to Android
        being geared toward geeks, you’re absolutely right, it is. That is why it
        is so amazing that the OS went from less than 1% two years ago to 38% today.
        Just think what will happen when the OS becomes less oriented toward people
        like me (geeks) and more toward people like you?

      • Anonymous

        It won’t. The patents just keep on coming. 12 more granted today. The copiers will run away screaming.

        The only one that you responded with was Walt Mossberg. So, the others I mentioned (including Engadget) don’t matter?

        So, the research firms that did the Verizon store polls all got it wrong?

        Do the math and explain the ridiculous numbers. 500k activations per day or Android “Devices”. That is 182 million phones supposedly sold. But, Samsung, LG, HTC, Sony and so on, each of their quarterly reports indicate things like a couple of million or so. Sorry, the numbers just don’t lie. And while devices activated sounds like a fun thing to tout there is only one company in the world that can report true sold numbers. Even RIM quotes sold in to the channel with no way to indicate actual owned devices. Because apple sells mainly through their own distribution it is the only number you can trust. What say you on the two Android knock offs that are being used in China that are being counted as device sales but don’t even have access to the google market? Should those be included? And, if so based on that metric, iOS spanks everyone by including the iPod touch and the iPad.

        It will never become oriented towards me. I simply don’t expect something for nothing. I prefer to pay for services rendered so I may control my own destiny. I have zero interest in every voicemail, email, contact, calendar event being data mined so that I can be bombarded with advertising by lady of the eternal beta.

        Case closed.

      • Anonymous

        Listen, I don’t want to be disrespectful but I think I just discovered what
        separates geeks from non-geeks; the need to be included, to be one of the
        “in” crowd. I don’t care what Engadget, BGR, the Wall Street Journal or for
        that matter, Steve Jobs says about smart phones. I wouldn’t buy one because
        they told me one was better than the other or doing so made me cool. I’m
        sorry, I don’t need to be included in their group. What I do is I go to the
        store and I fiddle with them, see if the device suits my needs. See, I
        value my own opinion more, sorry.

        With regard to the Verizon store studies (not polls), you’re reading the
        data wrong. What those “studies” concluded is that iPhone for Verizon was
        the most popular phone at those stores (51%). They did NOT conclude iPhone
        was outselling all of the other Android devices collectively. Hope this
        helps.

      • Anonymous

        We can only take Google’s word on how they are counting their activations. 

        Also, in some measures, lumping all iOS devices together makes sense, specifically when you’re comparing ecosystems. This information is valid for developers, as it represents your actual target market. 

      • Anonymous

        Actually, there is no need to take Google’s word on activations.  Their numbers are validated by market share gains as reported by ComScrore, IDC, Gartner, Nielson etc.  In short, they’re real.  But, just for fun, let’s do some math.  If Google is activating 500,000 devices per day how many days are required to surpass the 220,000 million iOS devices Steve Jobs says exist worldwide?  Recall, this is all of the iOS devices ever made.  Now, I know, the Apple number is also growing but when you put the Android  numbers in perspective you very quickly see why both Apple and Microsoft are suing hand over fist; they’re on the wrong side of momentum.   This is Windows vs Mac OS, VHS vs Betamax all over again.  We can argue who has the best product but if you’re familiar with such battles you understand that does not matter.  The real question is who has momentum?

        We are very close to a point where not having the Android OS will be a detriment.  Neither Apple nor Microsoft can afford that so look for both to go beyond simple patent litigation and lobby politicians for the break-up of Google.  

      • Anonymous

        And those same market share reports show Google starting to lose momentum. And the iPhone continues to slowly and steadily grow. Apple has carved out enough of a niche that it will be hard to dislodge them. They are at 25% U.S. and 20% world-wide. If you add in other iOS devices, and the profitability of the App Store, it means developers are not going to abandon ship.

        And in the Windows vs. Mac OS, somehow Apple has been able to do quite well. 

  • http://twitter.com/snookasnoo Idon’t Know

    The only thing holding back iPad sales is they can’t make them fast enough and are constantly sold out.  The 2nd quarter results aren’t mentioned here but they are through the roof in iPad sales while nobody, and I mean nobody, is buying Android tablets. 

  • SAMSUNGROCKS

    HAHA APPLE IS GOING DOWNHILL…. SAMSUNG WILL TAKE OVER!

  • http://www.electricstudio.co.uk Patrik Johnsson

    Don’t know why, but I quite literally just stopped using my iPad a month ago.

  • http://pulse.yahoo.com/_VINELO7WCIMZTQTSOXDUGG62LY Morris Fitzpatrick

    I paid $32.67 for a XBOX 360 and my mom got a 17 inch Toshiba laptop for $94.83 being delivered to our house tomorrow by FedEX. I will never again pay expensive retail prices at stores. I even sold a 46 inch HDTV to my boss for $650 and it only cost me $52.78 to get. Here is the website we using to get all this stuff, LiveCent.com

  • Anonymous

    I love how this data only includes the quarter where the iPad 2 was only available for 8 days (and likely not shipping that many due to constraints). The rest of the quarter was dominated by people waiting for the iPad 2.

    Let’s make judgements once Q2 data is released.

    • Anonymous

      Are you aware iPad sales have consistently missed Wall Street analyst projections?  Perhaps there is not as much demand for tablets as many would have us believe? I mean, isn’t that at least a possibility?

      • Anonymous

        Consistently? Really? I recall a single quarter (Q1 2011, which is being referenced) as missing projections. 

        And it was a quarter dominated by the iPad 1, with the iPad 2 only released during the last week.

        Again, make judgements once Q2 data is released.

      • Anonymous

        Actually, yes, consistently. Every quarter Wall Street analysts make
        projections as to how many tablets they believe Apple will sell. Contrary
        to what most believe, these numbers are arrived at with the guidance of
        Apple execs. If you look for that number you will see, since the iPad
        launch, Apple has consistently missed that (average) number. Further, if
        you look at the data what you also discover is that iPad is
        essentially cannibalizing iPod sales. That is, people who would have bought
        iPods are now iPad buyers. Organic growth is minimal.

        People often make the case that there is no real market for tablets but
        rather a market for iPads. I think that is essentially true. I just don’t
        believe the market for iPads is not nearly as great as Apple (or Wall Street
        analysts) tell us. For most, tablets (like iPods) will always be no more
        than expensive toys.

      • Anonymous

        Ok, first off, the iPad was first reported in Q3 2010. That means there have been THREE reported quarters. For Q3, no one expected the hit the iPad was. Q4 had wildly differing estimates, and the iPad split the middle. So where’s the consistency?

        Second, Apple releases guidance on their quarterly conference calls. Usually this is in regards to their total projections, which Apple smashes every quarter.

        Third, the iPod has been declining since the iPhone, not the iPad.

        Stop making crap up, we get it, you don’t like Apple. How original.

  • Anonymous

    Stop saying “tablets” and just say droids. As if Apple shipments would ever drop, lololololololol.

    • Freighttrain2126

      By usin that logic, then that means android tablets are selling more than double of iPad, since that would be the only mathematical way that iPad sales could rise while the tablet market as a whole drops.

  • Anonymous

    I have one thing to say about all this. Testicles… that is all. 

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