BlackBerry PlayBook sales could hit 6 million units in first year

Tablets

In a note to investors Tuesday morning, RBC Capital Markets GM Mike Abramsky suggests that RIM may sell 6 million BlackBerry PlayBook tablets in the device’s first year of availability. In an independent survey of 1,100 consumers conducted after the Consumer Electronics Show in January, RBC found that 6% of respondents were likely to purchase the BlackBerry PlayBook once it comes available. This represents almost 50% of the interest shown in the iPad ahead of launch, according to a similar RBC survey. The firm’s data shows that the PlayBook is appealing to early adopters and power users, and key areas of interest compared to Apple’s iPad include the 7-inch form factor, impressive specs, multitasking capabilities, speed and power, the BlackBerry brand and the security features. As a result of the strong buying intentions revealed by its survey, RBC contends that the PlayBook could sell 4 million units in the 2011 calendar year and 6 million units in its first 12 months of availability. The firm’s new sales estimates are significantly higher than Wall Street’s consensus of 2-3 million units in the 2011 calendar year. RBC expects the Wi-Fi-only version of the BlackBerry PlayBook to launch in mid-March at a price point between $399 and $449, with 3G and 4G versions to follow this summer. The firm also reiterated its price target of $90 for RIM’s stock.

28 Comments
  • Anonymous

    I’m excited to see how well this does. I think RIM has a lot of interesting things coming out which could make this a winner. BlackBerry Balance will allow BES functionality onto the PlayBook and also offer something unique to BlackBerry phones. BBM on the playbook and the potential to have BBM video chats (like skype/facetime). Also the device isn’t tied to a specific carrier (wifi version) which will allow RIM to have more control over updates for the device.

    Not to mention the PlayBook as a tablet on it’s own already seems very impressive from what we’ve seen. It should do well in enterprise. Consumer market will depend more on the developer community and how fun the device is.

    If they can optimize the battery life, make sure native e-mail/calendar apps are available asap, get more apps, and get this out into the market asap, it should do rather well. That’s a lot of if’s, but I think RIM understands that if this doesn’t do well, they will be in trouble as a company, even though people have been saying that for what seems like eternity and it hasn’t happened yet.

  • Danny

    Battery life will be key… and unfortunately something they are not talking about.

    • Anonymous

      This was the news yesterday and is coming from RIM’s Senior VP Jeff McDowell, “PlayBook to have 4,000 Apps at launch and will have equal or longer battery life than the iPad”

  • Anonymous

    I have to agree with this estimate. The price will be a major factor in their sales. Add in the fact that RIM is finally stepping up their smartphones and you will see the PlayBook and the phones start to really compliment each other. This will be RIMs biggest year ever.

  • http://twitter.com/mistercarter7 Mike Gonzalez

    is that even an achievement?!! i mean, 6 million in 12 months sounds lame as hell, even lamer when you compare that to the projected 40 million iPads expected to sell this year

    • Tony

      I agree! They need to stop targeting professionals and just do what Apple does and target effeminate men,12 year old girls, and the turtle-neck crowd.

  • RobertSeattle

    Hint to RIM: Have Angry Birds pre-installed…

    • http://twitter.com/FrankJL9 Frank lopez

      LOL

  • Anonymous

    I don’t see them coming even close to that # but hey time will tell. Maybe, maybe if they’re lucky they might sell a million on the first year, maybe. Rim should focus more on the blackberry who is losing market share left and right. Rim is chasing a market that it’s not there, they think blackberry users are buying iPad and that’s not true, iPhone and iPod users along with Mac Users are the people buying iPads.

    • Anonymous

      Exactly, and BlackBerry users will buy the PlayBook. You seem to have completely contradicted yourself in this post.

      • Anonymous

        iPod touches and iPhones are flying off store shelves which makes the iPad have the same effect. All devices made by rim are falling like rocks with makes anything from them have the same effect. Rim lost a lot of trust when they decided to screw a bunch of people with the Storm.

      • Anonymous

        After they screwed people with the Storm, they recorded record profits. The Torch is selling very well (I see them EVERYWHERE now) and the Curves and Bolds are doing very well too. If you have seen their upcoming devices, they are now competitive. They aren’t going to be top of the line like the PlayBook, but they will be more than enough for 90% of smartphone owners.

      • Anonymous

        when was last time you heard that RIM didn’t sell well, even their not so critically claimed Torch is second best selling device at ATT only second to iPhone. Blackberry has got a brand value and has 100 million active users to tap into, they have added 5.1 million new customers last quarter and also sold 14.2 million devices last quarter alone which is commendable in its own right. Even if 5% of their user base buy Playbook they will exceed the set target.

  • Anonymous

    No it won’t

  • Donny

    I wonder if Blackberry will become as fragmented as Android?

  • http://twitter.com/j_nathaniel Jason

    I doubt it.

  • Anonymous

    I wouldn’t be surprised if RIM sold six million that is for sure. Whether it happens of not is another thing all together.

  • http://bit.ly/samirsshah समीर शाह

    Every second you lose against Apple is a second lost.

    Microsoft is content with 1 million for Windows phone 7..

    RIM is content with 6 million…

    AMD sold so many APUs…

    These are self congratulatory and nothing else…

    Everyone has accepted defeat (except Google) before the fight has even started…

    And I think the cash horde some of these companies have made them complacent…

  • Anonymous

    RBC + Mike Abransky = Rim shill. Always has been. Always will be.

  • Tigerlanier

    It says ‘could’, not ‘will’.

  • http://twitter.com/FrankJL9 Frank lopez

    Specaulation hype. I highly doubt blackberry will do good in the tablet market. Thier dev support is damn near none existant. And with players with strong dev support from android and apple. The blackberry playbook is headed down the path of the storm.

  • http://twitter.com/SonsofAres Sons of Ares

    Man, it is such a double drag to have to listen to RIM discuss in public what they *might* sell, what the battery life *might* be, and “leaked” videos that don’t show people using their supposed tablet. Who is running the marketing department there? Is it now the latest trend to offer a steady stream of “might be’s” in order to drum up interest? Are you that desperate?

    Couple that the cavalier use of such jaw-droppingly meaningless categories like “power user.” Such nonsense.

  • http://twitter.com/gingerjet tim shea

    If it his a million I will be surprised. Like most companies – we are moving away from blackberries and starting to support Apple IOS and Android based devices. Why? With the exception of extreme users – everyone hates using blackberries.

  • Anonymous

    They were optimistic about the Storm too. How’d that turn out?

  • Nightfox111

    Simple estimate, 10% of the almost 60 million BBM users will buy a playbook in the next 12 months. Personally I think this will be higher … b/c you also have all the additional corporate applications coming down the pipe.
    Adobe AIR, Flash, Webkit, C, Java, are all developer platforms for the playbook = win/win. Should make it #2 behind the IPAD easily.

  • http://champs.name/ Champs

    To quote Wayne’s World: “It might happen… and monkeys might fly out my butt.”

  • Anonymous

    6 Million? They’re being optimistic.

  • Liftedmannequin

    Im over it. If they dont announce a price and official release date before iPad 2 launches then ill be going with Apple. Im sorrt RIM but you’ve had more than enough time!!!!

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